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Match predictions

Mara Sugar vs Kenya Police FC Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sat, Jan 24 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar logo
0-1
Kenya Police FC logo Kenya Police FC
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 18 Green Stadium
137%Home X29%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 37%
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Match forecast

Mara Sugar to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 37% ★★☆☆☆
Mara Sugar Win37%
Draw29%
Kenya Police FC Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals No 45% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 37% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Mara Sugar formL D L W L4 points from last five
Kenya Police FC formL D D D D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Kenya Police FC have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mara Sugar a 50% home win trend and Kenya Police FC a 30% away win trend. Mara Sugar average 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Kenya Police FC at 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Mara Sugar 0 wins, Kenya Police FC 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 29% draw and 34% away, making Mara Sugar to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

Mara Sugar 0 wins, Kenya Police FC 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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