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Match predictions

Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sat, Jan 31 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Homeboyz Homeboyz logo
3-3
Mara Sugar logo Mara Sugar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 19 Bukhungu Stadium
136%Home X34%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 36%
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Match forecast

Homeboyz to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 36% ★★☆☆☆
Homeboyz Win36%
Draw34%
Mara Sugar Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 67% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 36% Final score: 3-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Homeboyz formD D L L L2 points from last five
Mara Sugar formL D L W L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Homeboyz have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Homeboyz a 40% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 20% away win trend. Homeboyz average 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded. Homeboyz 0 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 34% draw and 30% away, making Homeboyz to Win the preferred tip at 36% confidence.

Homeboyz 0 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-3 · Outcome: Draw

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