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Match predictions

Homeboyz vs APS Bomet Prediction

Sportpesa League · Mon, Mar 2 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Homeboyz Homeboyz logo
2-1
APS Bomet logo APS Bomet
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 21 Bukhungu Stadium
129%Home X22%Draw 249%Away
Match Centre Confidence 49%
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Match forecast

APS Bomet to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 49% ★★☆☆☆
Homeboyz Win29%
Draw22%
APS Bomet Win49%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 68% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 49% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Homeboyz formD D L L L2 points from last five
APS Bomet formD W W W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Homeboyz have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while APS Bomet have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Homeboyz a 40% home win trend and APS Bomet a 50% away win trend. Homeboyz average 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with APS Bomet at 1.30 scored and 0.20 conceded. Homeboyz 2 wins, APS Bomet 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 22% draw and 49% away, making APS Bomet to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.

Homeboyz 2 wins, APS Bomet 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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