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Match predictions

Tusker vs Homeboyz Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sun, Mar 15 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Won
Tusker Tusker logo
2-0
Homeboyz logo Homeboyz
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 24 Police Sacco Stadium
151%Home X28%Draw 221%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Tusker to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Tusker Win51%
Draw28%
Homeboyz Win21%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 58% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Tusker formW D L L D5 points from last five
Homeboyz formD D L L L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Tusker have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Homeboyz have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Tusker a 60% home win trend and Homeboyz a 20% away win trend. Tusker average 0.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Homeboyz at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Tusker 1 wins, Homeboyz 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 28% draw and 21% away, making Tusker to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Tusker 1 wins, Homeboyz 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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