Match predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga · Fri, Oct 9 - 21:30 · SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund, Germany

Updated Fri, Oct 9, 2026 23:37 EAT
Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Lost
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund logo
2-2
Werder Bremen logo Werder Bremen
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
160%Home X16%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 60%
Prediction summary

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen key facts

Primary tipBorussia Dortmund to Win
Predicted score2-0
Kick-offFri, Oct 9 - 21:30
Confidence60%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Mon, Sep 21, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Borussia Dortmund have won 5 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Werder Bremen have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Borussia Dortmund a 86% home win trend and Werder Bremen a 22% away win trend. Borussia Dortmund average 2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Werder Bremen at 1.40 scored and 1.90 conceded. Borussia Dortmund 1 wins, Werder Bremen 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Borussia Dortmund in position 1, 12 points, 4 matches played, while Werder Bremen in position 8, 7 points, 4 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 60% home, 16% draw and 24% away, making Borussia Dortmund to Win the preferred tip at 60% confidence.

Match forecast

Borussia Dortmund to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Medium · 60% ★★★☆☆
Borussia Dortmund Win60%
Draw16%
Werder Bremen Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals No 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 60% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 60% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Borussia Dortmund formW W W W W15 points from last five
Werder Bremen formW D W L L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength86% / 22%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.20 - 1.40Average goals scored
Table position1 / 812 pts vs 7 pts

Reason for tip

Borussia Dortmund have won 5 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Werder Bremen have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Borussia Dortmund a 86% home win trend and Werder Bremen a 22% away win trend. Borussia Dortmund average 2.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Werder Bremen at 1.40 scored and 1.90 conceded. Borussia Dortmund 1 wins, Werder Bremen 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Borussia Dortmund in position 1, 12 points, 4 matches played, while Werder Bremen in position 8, 7 points, 4 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 60% home, 16% draw and 24% away, making Borussia Dortmund to Win the preferred tip at 60% confidence.

Borussia Dortmund 1 wins, Werder Bremen 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen questions

What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Borussia Dortmund to Win with a predicted score of 2-0 and 60% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Borussia Dortmund are rated at 60%, the draw at 16%, and Werder Bremen at 24%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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