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Match predictions

Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sat, Apr 18 - 13:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks logo
0-1
Mara Sugar logo Mara Sugar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 Kasarani Annex Stadium
143%Home X26%Draw 231%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Kariobangi Sharks to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Kariobangi Sharks Win43%
Draw26%
Mara Sugar Win31%
Over 2.5 Goals No 47% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Kariobangi Sharks formW D D W D9 points from last five
Mara Sugar formL D L W L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 0.70Average goals scored
Table position16 / 1138 pts vs 44 pts

Reason for tip

Kariobangi Sharks have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Kariobangi Sharks a 40% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 20% away win trend. Kariobangi Sharks average 1.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded. Kariobangi Sharks 0 wins, Mara Sugar 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Kariobangi Sharks in position 16, 38 points, 34 matches played, while Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 26% draw and 31% away, making Kariobangi Sharks to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Kariobangi Sharks 0 wins, Mara Sugar 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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