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Match predictions

APS Bomet vs Sofapaka Prediction

Sportpesa League · Sun, Apr 26 - 14:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Won
APS Bomet APS Bomet logo
1-0
Sofapaka logo Sofapaka
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 30
165%Home X22%Draw 213%Away
Match Centre Confidence 65%
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Match forecast

APS Bomet to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: High · 65% ★★★★☆
APS Bomet Win65%
Draw22%
Sofapaka Win13%
Over 2.5 Goals No 41% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence High 65% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

APS Bomet formD W W W W13 points from last five
Sofapaka formL L D L D2 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 0.40Average goals scored
Table position10 / 1844 pts vs 19 pts

Reason for tip

APS Bomet have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sofapaka have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives APS Bomet a 30% home win trend and Sofapaka a 4% away win trend. APS Bomet average 1.30 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sofapaka at 0.40 scored and 1.70 conceded. APS Bomet 1 wins, Sofapaka 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has APS Bomet in position 10, 44 points, 34 matches played, while Sofapaka in position 18, 19 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 65% home, 22% draw and 13% away, making APS Bomet to Win the preferred tip at 65% confidence.

APS Bomet 1 wins, Sofapaka 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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