The New Saints vs Shkendija Prediction

Reason for tip

The New Saints have won 0 of their last 4 recorded matches, while Shkendija have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives The New Saints a 4% home win trend and Shkendija a 13% away win trend. The New Saints average 0.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Shkendija at 0.70 scored and 1.30 conceded. The New Saints 0 wins, Shkendija 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 27% home, 45% draw and 28% away, making Draw the preferred tip at 45% confidence.