Shkendija vs Qarabag Prediction

Reason for tip

Shkendija have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Qarabag have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Shkendija a 50% home win trend and Qarabag a 50% away win trend. Shkendija average 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Qarabag at 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Shkendija 0 wins, Qarabag 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 32% draw and 34% away, making Qarabag to Win the preferred tip at 34% confidence.