Qarabag vs Shkendija Prediction

Reason for tip

Qarabag have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Shkendija have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Qarabag a 50% home win trend and Shkendija a 13% away win trend. Qarabag average 1.60 goals scored and 3.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Shkendija at 0.70 scored and 1.30 conceded. Qarabag 2 wins, Shkendija 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 34% draw and 20% away, making Qarabag to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.