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Match predictions

Marseille vs Ajax Prediction

Champions League · Tue, Sep 30 - 22:00

Champions League logo Champions League Won
Marseille Marseille logo
4-0
Ajax logo Ajax
FULL-TIME LEAGUE STAGE - 2 Orange Vélodrome
143%Home X24%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Marseille to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Marseille Win43%
Draw24%
Ajax Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 4-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Marseille formW W L D L7 points from last five
Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Marseille have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Ajax have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Marseille a 50% home win trend and Ajax a 40% away win trend. Marseille average 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Ajax at 1.60 scored and 0.70 conceded. Marseille 1 wins, Ajax 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Marseille to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Marseille 1 wins, Ajax 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 4-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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