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Match predictions

Qarabag vs Chelsea Prediction

Champions League · Wed, Nov 5 - 20:45

Champions League logo Champions League Lost
Qarabag Qarabag logo
2-2
Chelsea logo Chelsea
FULL-TIME LEAGUE STAGE - 4 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
136%Home X33%Draw 231%Away
Match Centre Confidence 36%
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Match forecast

Qarabag to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 36% ★★☆☆☆
Qarabag Win36%
Draw33%
Chelsea Win31%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 36% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Qarabag formL L L W L3 points from last five
Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.60 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Qarabag have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Qarabag a 50% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Qarabag average 1.60 goals scored and 3.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Qarabag 0 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 33% draw and 31% away, making Qarabag to Win the preferred tip at 36% confidence.

Qarabag 0 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

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