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Match predictions

Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction

Champions League · Tue, Feb 17 - 23:00

Updated Thu, Jul 23, 2026 17:48 EAT
Champions League logo Champions League Lost
Benfica Benfica logo
0-1
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 32 Estádio da Luz
143%Home X19%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Prediction summary

Benfica vs Real Madrid key facts

Primary tipBenfica to Win
Predicted score3-2
Kick-offTue, Feb 17 - 23:00
Confidence43%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Benfica have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Real Madrid have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Benfica and 50% for Real Madrid. Benfica average 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, compared with Real Madrid at 1.70 scored and 1.30 conceded. Those signals make Benfica to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Benfica to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Benfica Win43%
Draw19%
Real Madrid Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Benfica formW D D W W11 points from last five
Real Madrid formW W W L W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.30 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Benfica have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Real Madrid have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Benfica and 50% for Real Madrid. Benfica average 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded, compared with Real Madrid at 1.70 scored and 1.30 conceded. Those signals make Benfica to Win the preferred model tip.

Benfica 1 wins, Real Madrid 2 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Benfica vs Real Madrid questions

What is the Benfica vs Real Madrid prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Benfica to Win with a predicted score of 3-2 and 43% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Benfica are rated at 43%, the draw at 19%, and Real Madrid at 38%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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