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Match predictions

Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Aug 17 - 18:30

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Manchester United logo Manchester United
vs
Arsenal logo Arsenal
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 1 Old Trafford
145%Home X18%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester United to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Manchester United Win45%
Draw18%
Arsenal Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester United formW W D W W13 points from last five
Arsenal formD W W W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength80% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.90 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester United a 80% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Manchester United average 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Manchester United 1 wins, Arsenal 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 18% draw and 38% away, making Manchester United to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Manchester United 1 wins, Arsenal 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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