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Match predictions

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Aug 31 - 16:00

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Brighton logo Brighton
vs
Manchester City logo Manchester City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 3 Amex Stadium
136%Home X22%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Brighton Win36%
Draw22%
Manchester City Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 2.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Brighton have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brighton a 50% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Brighton average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Brighton 1 wins, Manchester City 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 22% draw and 41% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Brighton 1 wins, Manchester City 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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