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Match predictions

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Sep 13 - 17:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth
vs
Brighton logo Brighton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4 Vitality Stadium
145%Home X24%Draw 231%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Bournemouth to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Bournemouth Win45%
Draw24%
Brighton Win31%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Bournemouth formD D W W D9 points from last five
Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bournemouth a 30% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Bournemouth 1 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 24% draw and 31% away, making Bournemouth to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Bournemouth 1 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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