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Match predictions

Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Sep 13 - 22:00

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Brentford logo Brentford
vs
Chelsea logo Chelsea
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4 Brentford Community Stadium
134%Home X32%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 34%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Brentford to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 34% ★★☆☆☆
Brentford Win34%
Draw32%
Chelsea Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 34% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Brentford formD D L W L5 points from last five
Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Brentford have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brentford a 20% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Brentford average 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Brentford 0 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 32% draw and 33% away, making Brentford to Win the preferred tip at 34% confidence.

Brentford 0 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

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