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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Manchester United Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Sep 14 - 18:30

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester City logo Manchester City
vs
Manchester United logo Manchester United
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4 Etihad Stadium
143%Home X20%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Manchester City Win43%
Draw20%
Manchester United Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 3-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Manchester United formW W D W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Manchester United a 40% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester United at 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded. Manchester City 1 wins, Manchester United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 20% draw and 37% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Manchester City 1 wins, Manchester United 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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