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Match predictions

Sunderland vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Sep 21 - 16:00

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Sunderland Sunderland logo
1-1
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5 Stadium of Light
133%Home X21%Draw 246%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Sunderland Win33%
Draw21%
Aston Villa Win46%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sunderland formW W D D L8 points from last five
Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 2.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sunderland a 40% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Sunderland average 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Sunderland 0 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 21% draw and 46% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Sunderland 0 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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