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Match predictions

Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Sep 27 - 17:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Chelsea logo Chelsea
vs
Brighton logo Brighton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 6 Stamford Bridge
130%Home X28%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Brighton to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Chelsea Win30%
Draw28%
Brighton Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Brighton 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 28% draw and 41% away, making Brighton to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Chelsea 0 wins, Brighton 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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