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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Oct 26 - 17:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
vs
Manchester City logo Manchester City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 9 Villa Park
147%Home X18%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
Aston Villa Win47%
Draw18%
Manchester City Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 2.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Manchester City 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 18% draw and 35% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Aston Villa 2 wins, Manchester City 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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