Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction

Reason for tip

Liverpool have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Liverpool a 50% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Liverpool average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Liverpool 1 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 22% draw and 46% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.