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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Nov 29 - 18:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester City logo Manchester City
vs
Leeds logo Leeds
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 13 Etihad Stadium
156%Home X19%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 56%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 56% ★★★☆☆
Manchester City Win56%
Draw19%
Leeds Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 56% Final score: 3-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Leeds formL W D W L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Leeds have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Leeds a 10% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Leeds at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Manchester City 2 wins, Leeds 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 56% home, 19% draw and 24% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.

Manchester City 2 wins, Leeds 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

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