Everton vs Newcastle Prediction

Reason for tip

Everton have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Everton a 20% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Everton average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Everton 1 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 31% draw and 40% away, making Newcastle to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.