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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League · Fri, May 15 - 22:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Aston Villa Aston Villa logo
4-2
Liverpool logo Liverpool
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 37 Villa Park
156%Home X19%Draw 225%Away
Match Centre Confidence 56%
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Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-1 Confidence: Medium · 56% ★★★☆☆
Aston Villa Win56%
Draw19%
Liverpool Win25%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 56% Final score: 4-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Liverpool formD L D L W5 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Liverpool have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Liverpool a 30% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Liverpool at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Aston Villa 1 wins, Liverpool 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 56% home, 19% draw and 25% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.

Aston Villa 1 wins, Liverpool 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 4-2 · Outcome: Home Win

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