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Match predictions

Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Dec 14 - 17:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Sunderland logo Sunderland
vs
Newcastle logo Newcastle
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 16 Stadium of Light
144%Home X25%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Sunderland to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Sunderland Win44%
Draw25%
Newcastle Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 80% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sunderland formW W D D L8 points from last five
Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sunderland a 40% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Sunderland average 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Sunderland 2 wins, Newcastle 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 25% draw and 30% away, making Sunderland to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Sunderland 2 wins, Newcastle 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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