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Match predictions

Sassuolo vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Sun, May 17 - 21:45

Serie A logo Serie A Won
Sassuolo Sassuolo logo
2-3
Lecce logo Lecce
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 37 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
135%Home X26%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Match forecast

Lecce to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
Sassuolo Win35%
Draw26%
Lecce Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 70% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sassuolo formL L L W D4 points from last five
Lecce formW W L W D10 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 0.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sassuolo have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Lecce have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sassuolo a 60% home win trend and Lecce a 30% away win trend. Sassuolo average 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Lecce at 0.80 scored and 1.30 conceded. Sassuolo 0 wins, Lecce 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 26% draw and 38% away, making Lecce to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Sassuolo 0 wins, Lecce 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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