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Match predictions

Manchester United vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Fri, Dec 26 - 23:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester United logo Manchester United
vs
Newcastle logo Newcastle
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 18 Old Trafford
154%Home X18%Draw 228%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester United to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 54% ★★★☆☆
Manchester United Win54%
Draw18%
Newcastle Win28%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 54% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester United formW W D W W13 points from last five
Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength80% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.90 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester United a 80% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Manchester United average 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Manchester United 1 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 18% draw and 28% away, making Manchester United to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Manchester United 1 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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