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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Jan 3 - 15:30

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
vs
Nottingham Forest logo Nottingham Forest
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 20 Villa Park
152%Home X19%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 52%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆
Aston Villa Win52%
Draw19%
Nottingham Forest Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Nottingham Forest formD L D L W5 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 1.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Nottingham Forest a 50% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nottingham Forest at 1.90 scored and 1.20 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Nottingham Forest 1 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 19% draw and 29% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

Aston Villa 2 wins, Nottingham Forest 1 wins, 1 draws in last 4 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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