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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Jan 4 - 20:30

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Manchester City logo Manchester City
vs
Chelsea logo Chelsea
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 20 Etihad Stadium
158%Home X20%Draw 222%Away
Match Centre Confidence 58%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 58% ★★★☆☆
Manchester City Win58%
Draw20%
Chelsea Win22%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 77% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 58% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Manchester City 2 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 58% home, 20% draw and 22% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 58% confidence.

Manchester City 2 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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