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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Wed, Jan 7 - 22:30

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Manchester City logo Manchester City
vs
Brighton logo Brighton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 21 Etihad Stadium
148%Home X21%Draw 231%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
Manchester City Win48%
Draw21%
Brighton Win31%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Manchester City 0 wins, Brighton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 48% home, 21% draw and 31% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.

Manchester City 0 wins, Brighton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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