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Match predictions

Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Jan 17 - 15:30

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester United logo Manchester United
vs
Manchester City logo Manchester City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 Old Trafford
146%Home X18%Draw 236%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester United to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Manchester United Win46%
Draw18%
Manchester City Win36%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester United formW W D W W13 points from last five
Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength80% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.90 - 2.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester United a 80% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Manchester United average 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Manchester United 1 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 18% draw and 36% away, making Manchester United to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Manchester United 1 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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