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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction

Premier League · Sun, Jan 18 - 19:30

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
vs
Everton logo Everton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 Villa Park
156%Home X20%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 56%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-1 Confidence: Medium · 56% ★★★☆☆
Aston Villa Win56%
Draw20%
Everton Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 74% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 3-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 56% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Everton formL L D D L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Everton have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Everton a 40% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Everton at 1.50 scored and 1.70 conceded. Aston Villa 0 wins, Everton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 56% home, 20% draw and 24% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.

Aston Villa 0 wins, Everton 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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