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Match predictions

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Mon, Jan 19 - 23:00

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Brighton logo Brighton
vs
Bournemouth logo Bournemouth
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 Amex Stadium
135%Home X24%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Bournemouth to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Brighton Win35%
Draw24%
Bournemouth Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Bournemouth formD D W W D9 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Brighton have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brighton a 50% home win trend and Bournemouth a 50% away win trend. Brighton average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bournemouth at 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Brighton 0 wins, Bournemouth 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 24% draw and 41% away, making Bournemouth to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Brighton 0 wins, Bournemouth 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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