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Match predictions

MCF vs Nzoia Sugar Prediction

National Super League · Sun, May 17 - 15:00

National Super League logo National Super League Won
MCF MCF logo
1-0
Nzoia Sugar logo Nzoia Sugar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 33
140%Home X30%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 40%
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Match forecast

MCF to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆
MCF Win40%
Draw30%
Nzoia Sugar Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals No 46% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 30% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

MCF formL W L D W7 points from last five
Nzoia Sugar formW L W L L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.50 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

MCF have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nzoia Sugar have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives MCF a 30% home win trend and Nzoia Sugar a 30% away win trend. MCF average 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Nzoia Sugar at 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. MCF 1 wins, Nzoia Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 30% draw and 30% away, making MCF to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

MCF 1 wins, Nzoia Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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