Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Reason for tip

Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 22% draw and 45% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.