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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League · Wed, Feb 11 - 22:30

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
vs
Brighton logo Brighton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 26 Villa Park
155%Home X18%Draw 227%Away
Match Centre Confidence 55%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆
Aston Villa Win55%
Draw18%
Brighton Win27%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Brighton formL L W L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brighton have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Brighton a 40% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brighton at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Aston Villa 2 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 55% home, 18% draw and 27% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 55% confidence.

Aston Villa 2 wins, Brighton 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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