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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Sat, Feb 21 - 23:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester City logo Manchester City
vs
Newcastle logo Newcastle
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 Etihad Stadium
153%Home X19%Draw 227%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Manchester City Win53%
Draw19%
Newcastle Win27%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Newcastle formL W D W L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Newcastle a 40% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Newcastle at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Manchester City 4 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 5 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 19% draw and 27% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Manchester City 4 wins, Newcastle 1 wins, 0 draws in last 5 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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