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Match predictions

Aston Villa vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Wed, Mar 4 - 22:30

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Aston Villa logo Aston Villa
vs
Chelsea logo Chelsea
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 Villa Park
157%Home X19%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 57%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Aston Villa to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 57% ★★★☆☆
Aston Villa Win57%
Draw19%
Chelsea Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-4 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 57% Final score: 1-4
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Aston Villa formW W W D W13 points from last five
Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.40 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Aston Villa a 60% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Aston Villa average 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Aston Villa 1 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 57% home, 19% draw and 24% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.

Aston Villa 1 wins, Chelsea 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-4 · Outcome: Away Win

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