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Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, May 17 - 15:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo
3-3
NAC Breda logo NAC Breda
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 34 AFAS Stadion
152%Home X27%Draw 221%Away
Match Centre Confidence 52%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆
AZ Alkmaar Win52%
Draw27%
NAC Breda Win21%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 3-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
NAC Breda formD W L L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and NAC Breda a 10% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NAC Breda at 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, NAC Breda 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 27% draw and 21% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, NAC Breda 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-3 · Outcome: Draw

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