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Match predictions

Everton vs Manchester City Prediction

Premier League · Mon, May 4 - 22:00

Premier League logo Premier League Lost
Everton Everton logo
3-3
Manchester City logo Manchester City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 35 Hill Dickinson Stadium
125%Home X22%Draw 253%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Everton Win25%
Draw22%
Manchester City Win53%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 3-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Everton formL L D D L2 points from last five
Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 2.00Average goals scored
Table position / 1 pts vs 9 pts
Player form7.68 / 7.39Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Everton have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Everton a 20% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Everton average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Everton 0 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Manchester City in position 1, 9 points, 3 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Everton. Player-form data gives Everton an average top-player rating of 7.68 with 2 latest goal involvements, compared with Manchester City at 7.39 rating and 23 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 25% home, 22% draw and 53% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Everton 0 wins, Manchester City 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-3 · Outcome: Draw

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