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Match predictions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, May 17 - 15:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam logo
2-3
Excelsior logo Excelsior
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 34 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
126%Home X27%Draw 247%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
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Match forecast

Excelsior to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
Sparta Rotterdam Win26%
Draw27%
Excelsior Win47%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sparta Rotterdam formL L D L L1 points from last five
Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.90 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sparta Rotterdam have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sparta Rotterdam a 40% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. Sparta Rotterdam average 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Sparta Rotterdam 1 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 26% home, 27% draw and 47% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Sparta Rotterdam 1 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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