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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League · Sat, May 9 - 19:30

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester City Manchester City logo
3-0
Brentford logo Brentford
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 36 Etihad Stadium
155%Home X19%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 55%
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Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆
Manchester City Win55%
Draw19%
Brentford Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 76% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 3-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Brentford formD D L W L5 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.30Average goals scored
Table position1 / 9 pts vs pts
Player form7.39 / 7.09Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Brentford have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Brentford a 40% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Brentford at 1.30 scored and 1.40 conceded. Manchester City 3 wins, Brentford 0 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings. The table context has Manchester City in position 1, 9 points, 3 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Brentford. Player-form data gives Manchester City an average top-player rating of 7.39 with 23 latest goal involvements, compared with Brentford at 7.09 rating and 85 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 55% home, 19% draw and 26% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 55% confidence.

Manchester City 3 wins, Brentford 0 wins, 0 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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