Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Reason for tip

Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Burnley a 10% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Burnley average 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Burnley 0 wins, Aston Villa 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. Player-form data gives Burnley an average top-player rating of 6.82 with 18 latest goal involvements, compared with Aston Villa at 7.11 rating and 12 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 21% home, 23% draw and 56% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.