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Match predictions

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League · Wed, May 13 - 22:00

Premier League logo Premier League Won
Manchester City Manchester City logo
3-0
Crystal Palace logo Crystal Palace
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 31 Etihad Stadium
159%Home X19%Draw 223%Away
Match Centre Confidence 59%
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Match forecast

Manchester City to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 59% ★★★☆☆
Manchester City Win59%
Draw19%
Crystal Palace Win23%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 59% Final score: 3-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Manchester City formL D W W W10 points from last five
Crystal Palace formW L D L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.20Average goals scored
Table position1 / 9 pts vs pts
Player form7.39 / 7.05Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Crystal Palace have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Crystal Palace a 20% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Crystal Palace at 1.20 scored and 1.70 conceded. Manchester City 2 wins, Crystal Palace 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Manchester City in position 1, 9 points, 3 matches played, while no comparable table row was available for Crystal Palace. Player-form data gives Manchester City an average top-player rating of 7.39 with 23 latest goal involvements, compared with Crystal Palace at 7.05 rating and 18 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 59% home, 19% draw and 23% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 59% confidence.

Manchester City 2 wins, Crystal Palace 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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