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Match predictions

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, Mar 14 - 17:30

Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Lost
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen logo
1-1
Bayern München logo Bayern München
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 26 BayArena
134%Home X21%Draw 245%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
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Match forecast

Bayern München to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Bayer Leverkusen Win34%
Draw21%
Bayern München Win45%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Bayer Leverkusen formD L W W L7 points from last five
Bayern München formW W D D L8 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 80%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 3.30Average goals scored
Table position6 / 159 pts vs 89 pts
Player form7.42 / 7.62Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Bayern München have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bayer Leverkusen a 40% home win trend and Bayern München a 80% away win trend. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Bayern München at 3.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen 0 wins, Bayern München 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Bayer Leverkusen in position 6, 59 points, 34 matches played, while Bayern München in position 1, 89 points, 34 matches played. Player-form data gives Bayer Leverkusen an average top-player rating of 7.42 with 86 latest goal involvements, compared with Bayern München at 7.62 rating and 138 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 21% draw and 45% away, making Bayern München to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Bayer Leverkusen 0 wins, Bayern München 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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