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Match predictions

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, Apr 4 - 16:30

Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Won
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen logo
6-3
VfL Wolfsburg logo VfL Wolfsburg
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 BayArena
150%Home X24%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 50%
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Match forecast

Bayer Leverkusen to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★☆☆☆
Bayer Leverkusen Win50%
Draw24%
VfL Wolfsburg Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 9 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 6-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 6-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Bayer Leverkusen formD L W W L7 points from last five
VfL Wolfsburg formD D W L D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.10Average goals scored
Table position6 / 1659 pts vs 29 pts
Player form7.42 / 7.17Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while VfL Wolfsburg have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bayer Leverkusen a 40% home win trend and VfL Wolfsburg a 20% away win trend. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with VfL Wolfsburg at 1.10 scored and 1.40 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen 2 wins, VfL Wolfsburg 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Bayer Leverkusen in position 6, 59 points, 34 matches played, while VfL Wolfsburg in position 16, 29 points, 34 matches played. Player-form data gives Bayer Leverkusen an average top-player rating of 7.42 with 86 latest goal involvements, compared with VfL Wolfsburg at 7.17 rating and 18 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 50% home, 24% draw and 26% away, making Bayer Leverkusen to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

Bayer Leverkusen 2 wins, VfL Wolfsburg 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 6-3 · Outcome: Home Win

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