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Match predictions

Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, Apr 4 - 16:30

Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Lost
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV logo
1-1
FC Augsburg logo FC Augsburg
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 Volksparkstadion
132%Home X26%Draw 242%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Match forecast

FC Augsburg to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Hamburger SV Win32%
Draw26%
FC Augsburg Win42%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Hamburger SV formD W W L L7 points from last five
FC Augsburg formL W W D W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.50Average goals scored
Table position13 / 938 pts vs 43 pts

Reason for tip

Hamburger SV have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while FC Augsburg have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Hamburger SV a 20% home win trend and FC Augsburg a 40% away win trend. Hamburger SV average 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with FC Augsburg at 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Hamburger SV 0 wins, FC Augsburg 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Hamburger SV in position 13, 38 points, 34 matches played, while FC Augsburg in position 9, 43 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 26% draw and 42% away, making FC Augsburg to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Hamburger SV 0 wins, FC Augsburg 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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