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Match predictions

Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Prediction

Bundesliga · Sun, Apr 5 - 16:30

Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Lost
Union Berlin Union Berlin logo
1-1
FC St. Pauli logo FC St. Pauli
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 Stadion An der Alten Försterei
153%Home X31%Draw 215%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Match forecast

Union Berlin to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Union Berlin Win53%
Draw31%
FC St. Pauli Win15%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 77% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Union Berlin formW W D L L7 points from last five
FC St. Pauli formL L L L D1 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 0.60Average goals scored
Table position11 / 1839 pts vs 26 pts

Reason for tip

Union Berlin have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while FC St. Pauli have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Union Berlin a 30% home win trend and FC St. Pauli a 10% away win trend. Union Berlin average 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with FC St. Pauli at 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Union Berlin 1 wins, FC St. Pauli 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Union Berlin in position 11, 39 points, 34 matches played, while FC St. Pauli in position 18, 26 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 31% draw and 15% away, making Union Berlin to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Union Berlin 1 wins, FC St. Pauli 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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