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Match predictions

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Fri, Apr 24 - 21:30

Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Won
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig logo
3-1
Union Berlin logo Union Berlin
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 31 Red Bull Arena
149%Home X22%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 49%
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Match forecast

RB Leipzig to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 49% ★★☆☆☆
RB Leipzig Win49%
Draw22%
Union Berlin Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 49% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

RB Leipzig formL W L W W9 points from last five
Union Berlin formW W D L L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.50Average goals scored
Table position3 / 1165 pts vs 39 pts
Player form7.24 / -Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Union Berlin have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives RB Leipzig a 60% home win trend and Union Berlin a 20% away win trend. RB Leipzig average 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Union Berlin at 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. RB Leipzig 1 wins, Union Berlin 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has RB Leipzig in position 3, 65 points, 34 matches played, while Union Berlin in position 11, 39 points, 34 matches played. Player-form data is available for RB Leipzig, with an average top-player rating of 7.24 and 101 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 49% home, 22% draw and 29% away, making RB Leipzig to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.

RB Leipzig 1 wins, Union Berlin 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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